Another of our friends got their second doses yesterday, and [our son in Texas] is expected to receive his second dose of Novavax in the clinical trial today in Austin. Johnson & Johnson’s vaccine is beginning to be distributed today. And Marin County’s health official said over the weekend that the statewide MyTurn vaccination scheduling website is now working for Marin appointments.

But things still don’t add up. The J & J distribution will be “uneven” for the near future, Newsom and Blue Shield still haven’t gotten their act together and are not answering questions about the number of doses that will be available in the three-week forecast window we are promised. And as counties like LA add teachers to the list of allowed categories it still looks like getting the shots into arms will take six months to a year at current rates. Doing the math: With the addition of teachers, 3.4 million Angelenos are now eligible, or 6.8 M doses needed. 2.1 M doses have been administered so far. That leaves 4.7 M doses are still needed to cover the new pool. Garcetti announced that they had given 90,000 shots last week for LA city (40% of the county), the high-water mark so far. So that works out to 20 weeks to cover just these people, putting us into August for just this group. My guess is that LA County doesn’t have the capacity for its 60% share, and it’s more like 40 weeks at current rates. As usual, we need to triple the current distribution rates to make a dent. It’s been this way since Inauguration Day.